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Before the 2008 MLB season began, whereIstand.com members and researchers tracked predictions of 42 sports media personalities for which teams they picked to win each respective division. Three months into the regular season, we’ve determined their accuracy, by rank, based on the standings as of July 1. The results are after the jump.
Each individual prediction, and its source, can be found at the links directly below for each specific MLB division. These pages also show how many first place predictions (referred to as “opinions” on whereIstand.com) each of the teams have gotten.
Prediction breakdown in the AL East
Prediction breakdown in AL Central
Prediction breakdown in the AL West
Prediction breakdown in the NL East
Prediction breakdown in the NL Central
Prediction break down in the NL West
Mid-season MLB Prediction Accuracy Report
1. McAdam, Sean (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Phillies, Cubs, Dbacks - 64 points
2. McIntyre, Jason (The Big Lead): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Phillies, Cubs, Dbacks - 64 points
3. Albom, Mitch (Detroit Free Press): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 60 points
4. Crasnick, Jerry (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 60 points
5. Klapisch, Bob (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 60 points
6. Gammons, Peter (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Braves, Cubs, Dbacks - 59 points
7. The Sporting News: Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Braves, Cubs, Dbacks - 59 points
8. Kurkjian, Tim (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dodgers - 58 points
9. The Associated Press: Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 55 points
10. Shaughnessy, Dan (Boston Globe): Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 55 points
11. Cimilluca, Greg (CBSSportsline): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Phillies, Cubs, Padres - 55 points
12. Edes, Gordon (Boston Globe): Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 55 points
13. Heyman, Jon (Sports Illustrated): Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 55 points
14. Tafoya, Michele (ESPN): Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dodgers - 53 points
15. Law, Keith (ESPN): Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dodgers - 53 points
16. Miller, Scott (CBSSportsline): Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Phillies, Cubs, Dbacks - 52 points
17. Schlegel, John (MLB.com): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Rockies - 51points
18. Van Pelt, Scott (ESPN): Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Mets, Brewers, Dbacks - 51 points
19. Keri, Jonah (ESPN): Yankees, Indians, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 50 points
20. Golic, Mike (ESPN): Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Mets, Brewers, Dodgers - 49 points
21. Gomez, Pedro (ESPN): Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Braves, Brewers, Dodgers - 48 points
22. Davidoff, Ken (Newsday): Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 48 points
23. The New York Times: Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 48 points
24. Neyer, Rob (ESPN): Yankees, Indians, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Dodgers - 48 points
25. Shea, John (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 48 points
26. Karabell, Eric (ESPN): Red Sox, Indians, Mariners, Phillies, Cubs, Dbacks - 47 points
27. Sharp, Drew (Detroit Free Press): Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Reds, Dodgers - 47 points
28. Sports Illustrated: Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Rockies - 46 points
29. Verducci, Tom (SI): Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Rockies - 46 points
30. Phillips, Steve (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Mets, Cubs, Dodgers - 46 points
31. Rogers, Phil (Chicago Tribune): Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Rockies - 46 points
32. Herbstreit, Kirk (ESPN): Yankees, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Reds, Dbacks 44 points
33. Nelson, Amy (ESPN): Red Sox, Indians, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Dbacks - 42 points
34. Ryan, Bob (Boston Globe): Red Sox, Indians, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Dodgers - 41 points
35. ESPN The Mag: Yankees, Indians, Mariners, Mets, Cubs, Dbacks - 38 points
36. Stark, Jayson (ESPN): Red Sox, Tigers, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Rockies - 38 points
37. Tirico, Mike (ESPN): Yankees, Indians, Mariners, Braves, Dodgers, Cubs - 35 points
38. Pascarelli, Peter (ESPN): Yankees, Indians, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Dodgers - 35 points
39. The Los Angeles Times: Red Sox, Indians, Mariners, Mets, Cubs, Rockies - 34 points
40. Greenberg, Mike (ESPN): Yankees, Tigers, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Rockies - 33 points
41.Madden, Bill (NY Daily News): Blue Jays, Indians, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Dbacks 33 points
42. Olney, Buster (ESPN): Red Sox, Indians, Mariners, Braves, Cubs, Rockies 33 points
Statistical Method
Scores were based on team standings as of Wednesday, July 1. Picks for a first place team were worth 12 points; points for second, third, fourth and fifth place teams were estimated on a sliding scale of depreciating value based on how many games back they were on July 1. The rankings above are based on the accumulative scores of each team per division that a person or media organization picked. To see what each team was valued at, see below.
Points for teams based on Division Standings as of July 1, 2008:
| AL East |
| Rays - 12 |
| Sox - 10 |
| Yanks - 5 |
| Orioles - 4 |
| Jays - 1 |
| AL Central |
| Sox - 12 |
| Twins - 10 |
| Tigers - 6 |
| Royals - 2 |
| Indians - 1 |
| AL West |
| Angels - 12 |
| Athletics - 8 |
| Rangers - 6 |
| Mariners -0 |
| NL East |
| Phillies - 12 |
| Marlins - 11 |
| Mets - 8 |
| Braves- 7 |
| Nationals 0 |
| NL Central |
| Cubs - 12 |
| Cards - 10 |
| Brewers - 8 |
| Astros - 2 |
| Pirates - 2 |
| Reds - 1 |
| NL West |
| DBacks 12 |
| Dodgers - 10 |
| Giants - 7 |
| Rockies - 3 |
| Padres - 3 |
“…we’ve determined their accuracy…” No, you haven’t. Their predictions are for the entire season. Standings as of July 1 are meaningless — as many longtime Red Sox fans can attest.
Baseball America has a 60, I believe.
Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, D-Backs
BP — do you have a link to Baseball America’s picks?
[...] the spirit of the prediction accuracy report that whereIstand released back in July, our sports researchers — namely JStephen, JesseL and [...]
Hola de parte de parejaspareja.es, encontre tu blog navegando por la red buscando predicciones en google. Me parece super interesante la información que tienes en tu blog y sin lugar a dudas regresare a leerlo. Tengo una pregunta, si podria traducir tu blog “Sports Media Accuracy Power Rankings: Mid-season baseball report « WhereIstand blog” y añadirlos a un de mis blogs en italiano? Y por supuesto con el link direccionando a tu blog. Estare esperando tu respuesta. parejaspareja.es